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16.05.2025 05:21 AM
2025 年 5 月 16 日英鎊/美元匯率預測

週四,英國公佈了強勁的國內生產總值(GDP)數據,但由於增長僅來自服務業,因此未能在貨幣市場引發顯著活動。在第一季度,GDP 增長了0.7%,並在三月份增長了0.2%。然而,工業生產在三月份出現了0.7%的萎縮。這同樣體現在貿易平衡上,貿易逆差大於預期,達到-£198.7億英鎊,而預測值為-£191億英鎊。英鎊上漲了45點,主要由於美元指數下降了0.14%。

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英鎊本來可能會進一步上漲,但在1.3311遇到技術阻力,這一水平在亞洲交易時段已經嘗試突破。Marlin振盪器的「頭肩頂」形態已經完全形成,振盪器的信號線已經移入正區。我們預期振盪器和價格將繼續上升,朝向最近的目標1.3433。在那之後,下一個目標將是價格通道的上界1.3545。

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在四小時圖上,價格上升至平衡線和 MACD 線之上,目前的蠟燭圖開盤價位於 1.3311 水平之上。Marlin 振盪器在正值區上升,顯示出上升趨勢。

此趨勢可能會被打破,價格可能回到 1.3184–1.3208 的支撐區域,但前提是價格需穩固於 MACD 線下方,大約在 1.3260 水平。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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