empty
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
13.05.2025 12:24 AM
China Helped the Dollar Halt Its Decline
Open trading account Open demo account

The CFTC report released on Friday showed minimal changes in overall currency positioning, with the net USD position against major currencies decreasing by a symbolic $0.1 billion to—$17.2 billion. Due to high overall uncertainty, investors remain in a wait-and-see mode, and the market is currently in a fragile balance awaiting new data.

This image is no longer relevant

The futures market anticipates three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, with only minor adjustments. A slight increase in inflation expectations followed the release of secondary labor market data—unit labor costs rose by 5.7% in Q1, significantly above the previous 2% and the forecast of 5.3%. This led to an uptick in yields on 5-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities).

The April consumer inflation report will be published on Tuesday. Forecasts are neutral, with headline and core readings expected to remain at the previous month's levels. However, this outlook carries considerable uncertainty, as the U.S. is currently experiencing opposing economic forces that could push inflation higher or lower.

One key factor is the tariff negotiations with China. Chinese exporters have sharply reduced shipments to the U.S.—for now, inventories are sufficient, but time is running out. Without a mutually acceptable resolution, a surge in inflation is inevitable. Meanwhile, reports suggest the U.S. and China are close to reaching a tariff agreement. The two sides have agreed to a 90-day delay in implementing reciprocal tariffs, during which they aim to formulate a balanced solution.

Markets responded instantly to this positive development. On Monday, the dollar strengthened significantly, particularly against the yen as a safe-haven currency. The U.S. Dollar Index reached a one-month high but remains below the level seen before April 2.

In recent months, the dollar has faced intense pressure due to Trump's unilateral actions, which threatened the global financial system's stability. The recent wave of optimism supports risk assets, and the dollar could also benefit.

The threat of a U.S. recession appears to be on hold for now. Recent data has not raised concerns, and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model currently forecasts 2.3% GDP growth in Q2, easing fears of a poor Q1. At the same time, it should be noted that markets are reacting to the potential easing of political tensions, which has triggered a wave of euphoria. However, this optimism is still based purely on rumors and speculation.

The S&P 500 made an impressive leap on Monday. If it stays above 5780, this may require a reassessment of the short-term outlook.

This image is no longer relevant

In any case, near-term expectations of a stock market correction should be put aside, as demand for risk rises and will likely continue to grow, barring any unexpected developments. Trump is likely to continue pursuing his plan to revise tariffs, meaning that any delays or preliminary agreements with China do not resolve the core issues. Once the current wave of optimism fades, markets could resume their downward movement.

Kuvat Raharjo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Crypto-currencies
Trading tips for crypto market on June 27 (North American session) Bitcoin made another attempt to return to the $108,000 level, but failed to hold it and corrected lower, falling below the $107,000 mark, a move that could lead
Miroslaw Bawulski
15:47 2025-06-27 +02:00
1660
Forecast
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on June 27th (U.S. Session) Trade Review and Recommendations for the Japanese Yen The price test of 144.59 occurred when the MACD had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward
Jakub Novak
13:20 2025-06-27 +02:00
1795
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

The Yen Has Lost Its Bullish Momentum

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the Tokyo region declined in June from 3.4% to 3.1% year-over-year, marking the first signal so far that may indicate a slowdown in price
Kuvat Raharjo 12:21 2025-06-27 UTC+2

EUR/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/JPY pair is regaining positive momentum during today's trading session, reversing its recent decline.The euro continues to benefit from the prevailing sentiment of selling the U.S. dollar
Irina Yanina 12:17 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Inflation in Canada Remains Too High – USD/CAD May Accelerate Its Decline

Inflation in Canada remains too high to expect a rate cut by the Bank of Canada at its upcoming meeting. In April, inflation sharply slowed to 1.7% y/y, and most
Kuvat Raharjo 11:16 2025-06-27 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is drawing renewed selling interest today after breaking below the key $3300 level. Traders are awaiting the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which
Irina Yanina 10:47 2025-06-27 UTC+2

PCE Index Data Unlikely to Significantly Impact Market Dynamics (Potential for Renewed Growth in EUR/USD and Bitcoin)

The easing of tensions in the markets, following a pause in the military conflict in the Middle East, supports the return of the previous paradigm—an increase in demand for stocks
Pati Gani 09:52 2025-06-27 UTC+2

The Market Is Off the Leash

Greed has returned to the markets. While professionals warn about the need for caution amid geopolitical uncertainty, trade wars, and the state of the U.S. economy, retail investors are once
Marek Petkovich 09:16 2025-06-27 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on June 27? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are relatively few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday. Some experts refer to the PCE indicator as "important" and "the Fed's favorite," but we do not share that view
Paolo Greco 07:02 2025-06-27 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – June 27: History Doesn't Repeat Itself

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its strong upward movement throughout Thursday. Since the beginning of the week, the U.S. dollar has lost "only" 330 pips. As we've previously stated
Paolo Greco 03:41 2025-06-27 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – June 27: Can Trump Balance the Trade Deficit?

The EUR/USD currency pair is in a "free rise" (similar to the term "free fall"). The dollar is once again plunging into the abyss, just as we repeatedly warned. It's
Paolo Greco 03:41 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Powell, Trump, and Everyone Else

What will change with the arrival of a new Federal Reserve Chair? This is a rather important question, and the answer to it may already have implications for the U.S
Chin Zhao 00:08 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 05:00 UTC--5
EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders for June 27th (U.S. Session)
13:11 2025-06-27
Forecast
Relevance up to 06:00 UTC--5
GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on June 27th (U.S. Session)
13:16 2025-06-27
Forecast
Relevance up to 05:00 UTC--5
EUR/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on June 27th (Review of Morning Trades)
13:01 2025-06-27
Trading plan
Relevance up to 05:00 UTC--5
GBP/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on June 27th (Review of Morning Trades)
13:06 2025-06-27
Trading plan
Relevance up to 06:00 UTC--5
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on June 27th (U.S. Session)
13:20 2025-06-27
Forecast
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.